"Information Sampling and Bayesian Belief Formation in Statistical Judgment", 何黎胜博士, 副教授, 上海大学SILC商学院

标题： Information Sampling and Bayesian Belief Formation in Statistical Judgment

主讲人：何黎胜博士，副教授，上海大学SILC商学院

日期：2024年11月27日（星期三）
时间：14:00 - 15:00
地点：T1-302-R1

摘要：

The statistical properties of data are often communicated using visual graphs, such as scatterplots. This seminar will explore how decision-makers, as Bayesian learners, optimally interpret data points they attend to, with judgment errors emerging from biased sampling of information. Through four eye-tracking experiments (total N = 421), Dr. He will demonstrate that a Bayesian learning model, trained on sensory inputs from visual information search, can accurately predict participant judgments and associated biases. The seminar will introduce a new computational model of information sampling that, combined with the Bayesian model, replicates observed behavioral patterns, offering fresh insights into data visualization and statistical communication.

主讲人简介：
何黎胜博士现为上海大学SILC商学院副教授，曾获英国华威商学院博士学位，并在宾夕法尼亚大学完成博士后研究。作为上海浦江人才计划入选者，何博士主持了国家自然科学基金青年项目。他的研究结合行为实验、眼动追踪、虚拟现实模拟与计算认知模型，探讨管理与经济决策中的认知与情感机制。研究成果发表在《管理科学》(Management Science)、《心理学评论》(Psychological Review)、《实验心理学杂志：综合》(Journal of Experimental Psychology: General)、《认知心理学》(Cognitive Psychology)、《皇家学会会刊B》(Proceedings of the Royal Society B: Biological Sciences) 和《神经影像》(NeuroImage) 等顶级期刊上。
https://silc.shu.edu.cn/info/1321/19360.htm